Eneko_Lopez at Planetary Qualifier Bilbao

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Planetary Premier February 22, 2026 Record 3-2-0 Field 55
Rating after 1,600
+100
Rating before 1,500 RD 250
Rating after 1,600 RD 187
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,719 vs field +194
Field strength Mean 1,525 · Median 1,500 · 55 rated 14th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q1

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 5 matches 3-2 +100.3 1.0× +0.0 +100.3 1600
Total 3-2-0 +100.3 1600
Biggest upset Beat Hibadino 1890 at 21% odds / surprise +0.79
Costliest loss Lost to Pandorey 1480 at 52% odds / surprise -0.52 / +179 swing

Matches (5)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1489~ aitorSWU Loss 51% 0-2 1.0× -91.2 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 51% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 134, true skill could span ±268).
R2 1480~ Pandorey Loss 52% 0-2 1.0× -92.8 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 52% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 127, true skill could span ±255).
R4 1327 Janire Win 64% 2-0 1.0× +65.4 Swiss
R5 1758 Paulo Bastos Win 29% 2-1 1.0× +130.5 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 29% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R6 1890 Hibadino Win 21% 2-1 1.0× +151.5 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 21% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
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