EinfachJan at Planetary Qualifier Essen

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 2-5-0 Field 68
Rating after 1,323
-177
Rating before 1,500 RD 250
Rating after 1,323 RD 171
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,161 vs field -411
Field strength Mean 1,572 · Median 1,535 · 68 rated 42nd Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 2-5 -177.1 1.0× +0.0 -177.1 1323
Total 2-5-0 -177.1 1323
Biggest upset Beat Telli 1500 at 50% odds / surprise +0.5
Costliest loss Lost to NGNR_TK_23115 1257 at 69% odds / surprise -0.69 / +182 swing

Matches (7)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1475~ IorekByrnison Loss 52% 0-2 1.0× -93.6 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 52% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 121, true skill could span ±242).
R2 1617~ Frogdoc Loss 40% 1-2 1.0× -72.3 Swiss
R3 1601 ChickenAreEvil_TDM Loss 41% 0-2 1.0× -75.3 Swiss
R4 1244~ Janoshi Win 70% 2-0 1.0× +54.6 Swiss
R5 1500~ Telli Win 50% 2-0 1.0× +85.1 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 50% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
R6 1460~ Chris7016 Loss 53% 1-2 1.0× -96.0 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 53% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 121, true skill could span ±241).
R7 1257~ NGNR_TK_23115 Loss 69% 1-2 1.0× -126.0 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 69% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 149, true skill could span ±298).
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