EW_Zodd at Planetary Qualifier Essen

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Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 4-3-0 Field 68
Rating after 1,569
+28
Rating before 1,541 RD 177
Rating after 1,569 RD 141
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,616 vs field +44
Field strength Mean 1,572 · Median 1,535 · 68 rated 42nd Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 4-3 +28.2 1.0× +0.0 +28.2 1569
Total 4-3-0 +28.2 1569
Biggest upset Beat FatherComstock_TDM 1859 at 25% odds / surprise +0.75
Costliest loss Lost to DEschain 1434 at 59% odds / surprise -0.59 / +98 swing

Matches (7)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1356~ TomDuc Win 65% 2-0 1.0× +34.1 Swiss
R2 1529 EW_Ditto Win 51% 2-1 1.0× +48.5 Swiss
R3 1470 Tillmann Loss 56% 1-2 1.0× -55.8 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 56% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.
R4 1434~ DEschain Loss 59% 0-2 1.0× -57.9 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 59% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 129, true skill could span ±257).
R5 1859 FatherComstock_TDM Win 25% 2-0 1.0× +75.8 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 25% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R6 1601 TCT_Adrian Loss 45% 0-2 1.0× -44.2 Swiss
R7 1457 bartomanix_TDM Win 57% 2-0 1.0× +42.6 Swiss
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