EW_Tobik at Planetary Qualifier Essen

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 3-4-0 Field 68
Rating after 1,618
-90
Rating before 1,707 RD 143
Rating after 1,618 RD 124
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,381 vs field -191
Field strength Mean 1,572 · Median 1,535 · 68 rated 42nd Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 3-4 -89.8 1.0× +0.0 -89.8 1618
Total 3-4-0 -89.8 1618
Biggest upset Beat Yacone 1464 at 70% odds / surprise +0.3
Costliest loss Lost to dropkickrob 1505 at 66% odds / surprise -0.66 / +66 swing

Matches (7)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1500~ Mabo11 Loss 66% 1-2 1.0× -40.6 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 66% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
R2 1387 RollRobin Win 75% 2-1 1.0× +16.9 Swiss
R3 1617~ Frogdoc Loss 57% 0-2 1.0× -37.5 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 57% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 146, true skill could span ±291).
R4 1505 dropkickrob Loss 66% 0-2 1.0× -44.2 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 66% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.
R5 1464 Yacone Win 70% 2-0 1.0× +20.3 Swiss
R6 1575 RPGKuchen Loss 61% 1-2 1.0× -40.8 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 61% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.
R7 1245~ Spheenix_bw Win 83% 2-1 1.0× +11.7 Swiss
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