EM_Kapisier at Planetary Qualifier Madrid

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Planetary Premier May 24, 2025 Record 5-2-0 Field 98
Rating after 1,661
+114
Rating before 1,547 RD 177
Rating after 1,661 RD 142
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,888 vs field +348
Field strength Mean 1,540 · Median 1,500 · 96 rated 66th Percentile Planetaries, 2025 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 5-2 +114.1 1.0× +0.0 +114.1 1661
Total 5-2-0 +114.1 1661
Biggest upset Beat miguelitto01 1679 at 39% odds / surprise +0.61
Costliest loss Lost to 2183d7804da94cf1990e5dc3a6e5bf63 1719 at 36% odds / surprise -0.36 / +99 swing

Matches (7)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1586 TGB_Garci Win 47% 2-0 1.0× +52.1 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 47% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R2 1500~ Antarexs Win 54% 2-0 1.0× +42.3 Swiss
R3 1679~ miguelitto01 Win 39% 2-1 1.0× +58.5 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 39% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 160, true skill could span ±321).
R4 1719 2183d7804da94cf1990e5dc3a6e5bf63 Loss 36% 1-2 1.0× -35.4 Swiss
R5 1500~ Godguille Win 54% 2-0 1.0× +42.3 Swiss
R6 1415~ Soseth Win 60% 2-1 1.0× +36.7 Swiss
R7 1769~ Docnicka Loss 32% 0-2 1.0× -31.7 Swiss
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