EM_Kapisier at Planetary Qualifier Madrid Alcobendas

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Planetary Premier May 31, 2025 Record 5-2-0 Field 95
Rating after 1,705
+43
Rating before 1,661 RD 142
Rating after 1,705 RD 123
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,850 vs field +307
Field strength Mean 1,543 · Median 1,500 · 95 rated 71st Percentile Planetaries, 2025 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 5-2 +43.2 1.0× +0.0 +43.2 1705
Total 5-2-0 +43.2 1705
Biggest upset Beat gcaperan 1554 at 59% odds / surprise +0.41
Costliest loss Lost to leninegz 1623 at 53% odds / surprise -0.53 / +64 swing

Matches (7)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1500~ Greik Win 62% 2-0 1.0× +23.0 Swiss
R2 1554~ gcaperan Win 59% 2-0 1.0× +26.6 Swiss
R3 1747 TGB_JulioJ Loss 43% 0-2 1.0× -28.1 Swiss
R4 1623~ leninegz Loss 53% 1-2 1.0× -34.2 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 53% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 156, true skill could span ±312).
R5 1500~ Oconnel Win 62% 2-0 1.0× +23.0 Swiss
R6 1500~ RobM50 Win 62% 2-0 1.0× +23.0 Swiss
R7 1500~ TGB_DarioP Win 62% 2-0 1.0× +23.0 Swiss
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