EM_Kapisier at Planetary Qualifier Madrid

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Planetary Premier September 14, 2025 Record 3-3-1 Field 120

Rating after 1,666

-38

Rating before 1,705 RD 126

Rating after 1,666 RD 113

Effective multiplier 1.0×

Performance 1,550

Field strength Mean 1,563 · Median 1,521 · 118 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1705 → Swiss 1666 -38.2

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

FA_Nightbryd 2

shadowblade 0

LorenzoM 2

JoaquinSM 1

tarkin84 2

TGB_Romaero 1

Xexu 2

Adryano001 1

Semifinals

FA_Nightbryd 2

LorenzoM 0

tarkin84 2

Xexu 0

Finals

FA_Nightbryd 0

tarkin84 2

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 7 matches 3-3-1 -38.2 1.0× +0.0 -38.2 1666

Total 3-3-1 -38.2 1666

Biggest upset Beat angelitog 1558 at 62% odds / surprise +0.38

Costliest loss Lost to Sw0rdf1sh 1511 at 66% odds / surprise -0.66 /

Matches (7)

R1 LorenzoM Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

R2 FPiqueras Draw 1-1 1.0× -8.4 Swiss

R3 Sw0rdf1sh Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 66% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 124, true skill could span ±249).

R4 Fantasma111 Win 2-1 1.0× +17.0 Swiss

R5 Carlos11 Win 2-0 1.0× +15.1 Swiss

R6 TGB_Melow Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 61% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.

R7 angelitog Win 2-1 1.0× +19.8 Swiss