EM_Fenix at Planetary Qualifier Madrid

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Planetary Premier October 18, 2025 Record 2-5-0 Field 119
Rating after 1,405
-26
Rating before 1,431 RD 100
Rating after 1,405 RD 94
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,259 vs field -306
Field strength Mean 1,565 · Median 1,530 · 117 rated 66th Percentile Planetaries, 2025 Q4

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 2-5 -26.3 1.0× +0.0 -26.3 1405
Total 2-5-0 -26.3 1405
Biggest upset Beat Nikonakis 1500 at 45% odds / surprise +0.55
Costliest loss Lost to EM_ANHELL 1423 at 51% odds / surprise -0.51 / +34 swing

Matches (7)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1352~ kombu Win 56% 2-1 1.0× +14.2 Swiss
R2 2048 Xexu Loss 11% 0-2 1.0× -3.8 Swiss
R3 1717 EM_Kapisier Loss 27% 1-2 1.0× -9.4 Swiss
R4 1423 EM_ANHELL Loss 51% 1-2 1.0× -17.2 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 51% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.
R5 1500~ Nikonakis Win 45% 2-1 1.0× +17.4 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 45% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
R6 1453~ GustavoHC Loss 48% 0-2 1.0× -16.1 Swiss
R7 1497 Gounsil Loss 44% 0-2 1.0× -15.1 Swiss
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