NICKY MORGAN LEADS 1–0

ECL_TylerYork is the clear favorite across the board, but the underdog has a real path in the closer formats.

Widest gap is in Premier — ECL_TylerYork favored at 75%. Limited is the tightest: ECL_TylerYork edges it at 59%.

History contradicts the math in Premier. Glicko picks ECL_TylerYork, but Nicky Morgan hasn't lost in 1 meeting (1–0).