ECL_Mickeyd at Planetary Qualifier Ankeny Iowa

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Planetary Premier January 04, 2025 Record 6-3-0 Field 64

Rating after 1,770

+93

Rating before 1,677 RD 152

Rating after 1,770 RD 127

Effective multiplier 1.04×

Performance 1,827

Field strength Mean 1,525 · Median 1,500 · 64 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1677 → Swiss 1694 +16.9 → Quarterfinals 1726 +31.8 → Semifinals 1746 +20.3 → Finals 1735 -11.3 → Top-cut bonus 1750 +15.0

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

Bgodfather11 1

ECL_Mickeyd 2

Cubson 2

WarLax 1

Metalona 2

TP_HikingKnight 0

Junior64 2

bkiefer 1

Semifinals

ECL_Mickeyd 2

Cubson 1

Metalona 1

Junior64 2

Finals

ECL_Mickeyd 0

Junior64 2

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 6 matches 4-2 +16.9 1.0× +0.0 +16.9 1694

Quarterfinals · 1 match 1-0 +34.2 1.12× 1.00 · +0.12 +4.1 +38.3 1726

Semifinals · 1 match 1-0 +28.5 1.18× 1.00 · +0.18 +5.1 +33.7 1746

Finals · 1 match 0-1 -15.8 0.65× 1.00 · -0.35 +5.5 -10.3 1735

Top-cut bonus Tier-scaled additive ‧ Planetary at 64 +15.0 1750

Total 6-3-0 +93.5 1770

Biggest upset Beat Bgodfather11 1694 at 50% odds / surprise +0.5

Costliest loss Lost to WarLax 1500 at 63% odds / surprise -0.63 /

Matches (9)

R1 hothie Win 2-1 1.0× +25.3 Swiss

R2 Titus Bingaman Win 2-0 1.0× +25.3 Swiss

R3 Bgodfather11 Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

R4 Jacob Rodriguez Win 2-0 1.0× +25.3 Swiss

R5 Steve Boatwright Win 2-0 1.0× +25.3 Swiss

R6 WarLax Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 63% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).

QF Bgodfather11 Win 2-1 1.12× +42.1 Top Cut

Glicko-2 predicted only 50% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 144, true skill could span ±289).

Semis Cubson Win 2-1 1.18× +29.8 Top Cut

Finals Junior64 Loss 0-2 0.65× Top Cut