ECL_Mickeyd at Planetary Qualifier Ankeny

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Planetary Premier June 14, 2025 Record 3-3-0 Field 61

Rating after 1,903

-49

Rating before 1,951 RD 99

Rating after 1,903 RD 96

Effective multiplier 1.0×

Performance 1,573

Field strength Mean 1,597 · Median 1,555 · 61 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1951 → Swiss 1903 -49.0

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

AGodfather11 2

swbfstevo 0

Jpr08 2

TFK777 0

FoS_CantinaCov 1

ZBAYNE 2

Jmclean90 1

OAHawk3yeLord 2

Semifinals

AGodfather11 0

Jpr08 1

ZBAYNE 2

OAHawk3yeLord 0

Finals

Jpr08 0

ZBAYNE 2

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 6 matches 3-3 -49.0 1.0× +0.0 -49.0 1903

Total 3-3-0 -49.0 1903

Biggest upset Beat ghosties88 1701 at 70% odds / surprise +0.3

Costliest loss Lost to HopefulDino 1414 at 86% odds / surprise -0.86 /

Matches (6)

R1 Kyle Clay Win 2-0 1.0× +5.4 Swiss

R2 Fives501st Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 64% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 169, true skill could span ±339).

R3 Jmclean90 Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 74% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 131, true skill could span ±261).

R4 Jacob Rodriguez Win 2-1 1.0× +5.4 Swiss

R5 ghosties88 Win 2-0 1.0× +10.1 Swiss

R6 HopefulDino Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 86% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 155, true skill could span ±311).