ECL_Mickeyd at Planetary Qualifier Ankeny IA

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Planetary Premier August 09, 2025 Record 7-1-1 Field 63
Rating after 1,971
+57
Rating before 1,914 RD 90
Rating after 1,971 RD 90
Effective multiplier 1.17× weighted avg
Performance 2,197 vs field +648
Field strength Mean 1,549 · Median 1,515 · 62 rated 50th Percentile Planetaries, 2025 Q3

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 4-1-1 +7.5 1.0× +0.0 +7.5 1921
Quarterfinals · 1 match 1-0 +11.4 1.12× 1.00 · +0.12 +1.4 +12.8 1932
Semifinals · 1 match 1-0 +9.2 1.18× 1.00 · +0.18 +1.7 +10.9 1940
Finals · 1 match 1-0 +8.0 1.4× 1.00 · +0.25 · +0.15 +3.2 +11.1 1947
Top-cut bonus Tier-scaled additive ‧ Planetary at 63 +15.0 1962
Total 7-1-1 +57.3 1971
Biggest upset Beat OAmagicman925 1773 at 62% odds / surprise +0.38
Costliest loss Lost to Steve Locke 1582 at 75% odds / surprise -0.75 / +27 swing

Matches (9)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1638 Ragnell1011 Win 72% 2-0 1.0× +7.8 Swiss
R2 1940 Bgodfather11 Draw 0-0 1.0× ±0.0 Swiss
R3 1500~ radiofreealdhani Win 78% 2-0 1.0× +5.5 Swiss
R4 1582~ Steve Locke Loss 75% 1-2 1.0× -20.6 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 75% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 148, true skill could span ±296).
R5 1651~ Coletrain721 Win 71% 2-0 1.0× +8.1 Swiss
R6 1598~ Justin Geering Win 74% 2-0 1.0× +7.1 Swiss
QF 1773 OAmagicman925 Win 62% 2-0 1.12× +11.9 Top Cut
Semis 1582~ Steve Locke Win 76% 2-1 1.18× +8.0 Top Cut
Finals 1494~ HiddnNinja Win 82% 2-0 1.4× +7.6 Top Cut
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