ECL_Mickeyd at Planetary Qualifier Roseville MN

melee.gg

Planetary Premier August 16, 2025 Record 4-3-0 Field 110

Rating after 1,929

-42

Rating before 1,971 RD 90

Rating after 1,929 RD 87

Effective multiplier 1.0×

Performance 1,616

Field strength Mean 1,525 · Median 1,500 · 110 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1971 → Swiss 1929 -42.4

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

MND_OuterRimPorgSmuggler 2

John Cook 0

ElSyd 2

Junior64 0

TRSH_Dorminus 1

MattA777 2

TP_MaJar 2

Nick Hansen 0

Semifinals

MND_OuterRimPorgSmuggler 2

ElSyd 0

MattA777 0

TP_MaJar 2

Finals

MND_OuterRimPorgSmuggler 0

TP_MaJar 2

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 7 matches 4-3 -42.4 1.0× +0.0 -42.4 1929

Total 4-3-0 -42.4 1929

Toughest win Beat Jackxx13 1500 at 81% odds

Costliest loss Lost to jakeppetersen 1623 at 76% odds / surprise -0.76 /

Matches (7)

R1 Victoria872 Win 2-0 1.0× +2.2 Swiss

R2 MND_thetripofcj Win 2-1 1.0× +4.2 Swiss

R3 Jackxx13 Win 2-0 1.0× +4.8 Swiss

R4 Naderpotater Win 2-0 1.0× +3.1 Swiss

R5 MND_OuterRimPorgSmuggler Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 67% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.

R6 jakeppetersen Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 76% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 121, true skill could span ±242).

R7 TP_HikingKnight Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 72% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.