ECL_Mickeyd at Planetary Qualifier Waconia MN

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Planetary Premier December 27, 2025 Record 5-2-1 Field 69

Rating after 2,094

Rating before 2,094 RD 94

Rating after 2,094 RD 92

Effective multiplier 0.83×

Performance 1,939

Field strength Mean 1,576 · Median 1,535 · 69 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 2094 → Swiss 2093 -1.0 → Quarterfinals 2079 -14.3 → Top-cut bonus 2094 +15.0 → Made-cut floor 2094 +0.3

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

MND_gundy 1

Carlos Apodaca 2

Steve Locke 0

stuean 2

Bgodfather11 2

ECL_Mickeyd 1

MND_OuterRimPorgSmuggler 0

Junior64 2

Semifinals

Carlos Apodaca 2

stuean 0

Bgodfather11 2

Junior64 0

Finals

Carlos Apodaca 2

Bgodfather11 0

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 7 matches 5-1-1 -1.0 1.0× +0.0 -1.0 2093

Quarterfinals · 1 match 0-1 -16.7 0.82× 1.00 · -0.18 +3.0 -13.7 2079

Top-cut bonus Tier-scaled additive ‧ Planetary at 69 +15.0 2094

Made-cut floor Net pinned to ≥ 0 because you made cut +0.3 2094

Total 5-2-1 +0.3 2094

Toughest win Beat DoublePortal 1683 at 80% odds

Costliest loss Lost to Steve Locke 1762 at 76% odds / surprise -0.76 /

Matches (8)

R1 monkofthejunk Win 2-0 1.0× +5.8 Swiss

R2 Steve Locke Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 76% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.

R3 douglasbrian83 Win 2-0 1.0× +3.8 Swiss

R4 DoublePortal Win 2-1 1.0× +6.0 Swiss

R5 Bill Kukowski Win 2-0 1.0× +3.2 Swiss

R6 tpakonen Win 2-0 1.0× +3.2 Swiss

R7 stuean Draw 0-0 1.0× ±0.0 Swiss

QF Bgodfather11 Loss 1-2 0.82× Top Cut

Glicko-2 predicted 60% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.