ECL_Mickeyd at Regional Championship Limited Milwaukee

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Regional Limited February 20, 2026 Record 6-3-0 Field 561

Rating after 1,903

-25

Rating before 1,928 RD 152

Rating after 1,903 RD 126

Effective multiplier 1.3×

Performance 1,873

Field strength Mean 1,593 · Median 1,565 · 562 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Regional tier multiplier (1.3×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Regional event adds a flat +35 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1928 → Swiss 1903 -24.7

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

Dhostutl 2

TH_Lowercase 0

TH_MoxlessMatt 0

MND_gundy 2

Mcbober 0

BobbySapphire 2

SobekSobek 0

CadeH13 2

Semifinals

BobbySapphire 2

MND_gundy 0

CadeH13 2

Dhostutl 0

Finals

BobbySapphire 2

CadeH13 1

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 9 matches 6-3 -19.0 1.3× -5.7 -24.7 1903

Total 6-3-0 -24.7 1903

Biggest upset Beat Derrick Schwarz 1823 at 59% odds / surprise +0.41

Costliest loss Lost to ZeeHaw 1586 at 76% odds / surprise -0.76 /

Matches (9)

R1 Shannen Jones Win 2-0 1.3× +14.9 Swiss

R2 KingAlec02 Win 2-0 1.3× +25.3 Swiss

R3 ZeeHaw Loss 1-2 1.3× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 76% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 132, true skill could span ±264).

R4 RaptorSRK Win 2-0 1.3× +24.2 Swiss

R5 DoublePortal Win 2-1 1.3× +25.6 Swiss

R6 ECL_Narchy Win 2-0 1.3× +36.8 Swiss

R7 TheTacoKid Loss 1-2 1.3× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 63% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 133, true skill could span ±265).

R8 marshhhh Loss 1-2 1.3× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 69% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 152, true skill could span ±304).

R9 Derrick Schwarz Win 2-0 1.3× +39.4 Swiss