Nicky Morgan at Planetary Qualifier Groton

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 1-2-0 Field 69
Rating after 1,932
-21
Rating before 1,953 RD 77
Rating after 1,932 RD 77
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,494 vs field -76
Field strength Mean 1,570 · Median 1,540 · 68 rated 42nd Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 3 matches 1-2 -21.4 1.0× +0.0 -21.4 1932
Total 1-2-0 -21.4 1932
Biggest upset Beat TH_MoxlessMatt 1741 at 67% odds / surprise +0.33
Costliest loss Lost to ZDeadpool007 1525 at 81% odds / surprise -0.81 / +21 swing

Matches (3)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1741 TH_MoxlessMatt Win 67% 2-0 1.0× +6.8 Swiss
R2 1862 Farmboy087 Loss 58% 0-2 1.0× -11.9 Swiss
R3 1525 ZDeadpool007 Loss 81% 1-2 1.0× -16.9 Swiss
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