Nicky Morgan at Sector Qualifier Richmond

melee.gg
Sector Premier April 26, 2025 Record 4-4-0 Field 598
Rating after 1,772
-55
Rating before 1,828 RD 105
Rating after 1,772 RD 98
Effective multiplier 1.15× weighted avg
Performance 1,564 vs field +35
Field strength Mean 1,529 · Median 1,500 · 586 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Sector tier multiplier (1.15×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Sector event adds a flat +25 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 8 matches 4-4 -48.2 1.15× -7.2 -55.4 1772
Total 4-4-0 -55.4 1772
Biggest upset Beat RR_Dom 1747 at 57% odds / surprise +0.43
Costliest loss Lost to rexkhan 1500 at 74% odds / surprise -0.74 / +40 swing

Matches (8)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1500~ DarthJolan Win 74% 2-1 1.15× +10.6 Swiss
R2 1500~ rexkhan Loss 74% 1-2 1.15× -29.6 Swiss
R3 1747~ RR_Dom Win 57% 2-0 1.15× +18.2 Swiss
R4 1453~ Wapta Win 77% 2-0 1.15× +9.5 Swiss
R5 1780~ SawseTV Loss 54% 1-2 1.15× -23.0 Swiss
R6 1258~ Fairladyzx32 Win 87% 2-1 1.15× +5.7 Swiss
R7 1579~ Kanjo Loss 69% 1-2 1.15× -29.2 Swiss
R8 1676~ Tony Fangel Loss 62% 0-2 1.15× -26.8 Swiss
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