Nicky Morgan at Planetary Qualifier Newington

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Planetary Premier May 04, 2025 Record 4-3-0 Field 114
Rating after 1,760
-13
Rating before 1,772 RD 98
Rating after 1,760 RD 92
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,686 vs field +152
Field strength Mean 1,534 · Median 1,500 · 114 rated 58th Percentile Planetaries, 2025 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 4-3 -12.6 1.0× +0.0 -12.6 1760
Total 4-3-0 -12.6 1760
Biggest upset Beat MCG_L4NCER 1672 at 58% odds / surprise +0.42
Costliest loss Lost to Francois0 1500 at 70% odds / surprise -0.7 / +30 swing

Matches (7)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1672 MCG_L4NCER Win 58% 2-1 1.0× +13.5 Swiss
R2 1500~ QuackBox Win 70% 2-0 1.0× +9.0 Swiss
R3 1574 Joseph Martin Loss 66% 1-2 1.0× -21.6 Swiss
R4 1562~ NickVern Win 67% 2-0 1.0× +10.5 Swiss
R5 1451~ SpectreZero Win 74% 2-0 1.0× +8.2 Swiss
R6 1500~ Francois0 Loss 70% 0-2 1.0× -21.1 Swiss
R7 1897 Jason Seabury Loss 40% 0-2 1.0× -12.9 Swiss
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