Nicky Morgan at Planetary Qualifier Mahwah - New Jersey

melee.gg
Planetary Premier May 10, 2025 Record 4-1-2 Field 88
Rating after 1,768
+8
Rating before 1,760 RD 92
Rating after 1,768 RD 87
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,831 vs field +311
Field strength Mean 1,520 · Median 1,500 · 86 rated 34th Percentile Planetaries, 2025 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 4-1-2 +8.0 1.0× +0.0 +8.0 1768
Total 4-1-2 +8.0 1768
Biggest upset Beat caio402 1655 at 59% odds / surprise +0.41
Costliest loss Lost to Nick Alifano 1580 at 65% odds / surprise -0.65 / +29 swing

Matches (7)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1655 caio402 Win 59% 1-0 1.0× +11.9 Swiss
R2 1558 RogueState_MrA Draw 67% 1-1 1.0× -4.8 Swiss
R3 1500~ Voege-Squadron Win 69% 2-0 1.0× +8.3 Swiss
R4 1531~ CaptainCarl42 Win 68% 2-0 1.0× +9.1 Swiss
R5 1561 NG_TheBluesEffect_Blues686 Draw 66% 1-1 1.0× -4.8 Swiss
R6 1487~ artc1126 Win 71% 2-0 1.0× +8.2 Swiss
R7 1580 Nick Alifano Loss 65% 0-2 1.0× -18.8 Swiss
// keyboard

Shortcuts

Focus search
/
Next row
j
Previous row
k
Open focused row
Enter
Show / hide this panel
?
Close dialogs
Esc

j / k navigate rows on the leaderboard and tournaments index. Arrow keys work too.