Rankings / Nicky Morgan / Planetary Qualifier Rochester NY

Nicky Morgan at Planetary Qualifier Rochester NY

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Planetary Limited August 09, 2025 Record 7-2-0 Field 72
Rating after 1,841
+135
Rating before 1,706 RD 152
Rating after 1,841 RD 125
Effective multiplier 0.97× weighted avg
Performance 2,000 vs field +453
Field strength Mean 1,547 · Median 1,500 · 71 rated 47th Percentile Planetaries, 2025 Q3

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Quarterfinals
Nicky Morgan 2
Horatius24 0
darthbinks1 0
Jeff Hulslander 2
ECL_Seeweed_Alex_V 2
LadyGaGaFan 1
Peter Day 0
Krehlo_MythicForce 2
Semifinals
Nicky Morgan 1
Jeff Hulslander 2
ECL_Seeweed_Alex_V 2
Krehlo_MythicForce 0
Finals
Jeff Hulslander 2
ECL_Seeweed_Alex_V 1
See full bracket on the event page →
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 6-1 +113.9 1.0× +0.0 +113.9 1820
Quarterfinals · 1 match 1-0 +22.8 1.12× 1.00 · +0.12 +2.7 +25.6 1835
Semifinals · 1 match 0-1 -26.7 0.73× 1.00 · -0.27 +7.2 -19.5 1808
Top-cut bonus Tier-scaled additive ‧ Planetary at 72 +15.0 1823
Total 7-2-0 +135.0 1841
Biggest upset Beat Matt Telesky 1781 at 44% odds / surprise +0.56
Costliest loss Lost to Jeff Hulslander 1500 at 74% odds / surprise -0.74 / +62 swing

Matches (9)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1500~ Garett Pembrook Win 66% 2-0 1.0× +24.0 Swiss
R2 1541~ EKohl25 Win 63% 2-1 1.0× +26.9 Swiss
R3 1590~ AleR12 Win 60% 2-0 1.0× +29.6 Swiss
R4 1781~ Matt Telesky Win 44% 2-0 1.0× +41.1 Swiss
R5 1752~ ECL_Seeweed_Alex_V Loss 46% 1-2 1.0× -33.8 Swiss
R6 1663~ PeterMatteson13 Win 54% 2-1 1.0× +34.0 Swiss
R7 1623~ BardofSnow Win 57% 2-1 1.0× +31.6 Swiss
QF 1500~ Horatius24 Win 73% 2-0 1.12× +26.8 Top Cut
Semis 1500~ Jeff Hulslander Loss 74% 1-2 0.73× -33.3 Top Cut
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