Rankings / Nicky Morgan / Planetary Qualifier Rochester NY

Nicky Morgan at Planetary Qualifier Rochester NY

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Planetary Premier August 23, 2025 Record 5-3-0 Field 34
Rating after 1,822
+19
Rating before 1,803 RD 79
Rating after 1,822 RD 80
Effective multiplier 0.94× weighted avg
Performance 1,787 vs field +214
Field strength Mean 1,573 · Median 1,513 · 34 rated 77th Percentile Planetaries, 2025 Q3

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Quarterfinals
ECL_Seeweed_Alex_V 2
gcal27 0
CST_Rapscallion 2
darknesspwns 1
Wapta 1
Nicky Morgan 2
JamesUgly 2
drimas 0
Semifinals
ECL_Seeweed_Alex_V 2
CST_Rapscallion 1
Nicky Morgan 0
JamesUgly 2
Finals
ECL_Seeweed_Alex_V 2
JamesUgly 1
See full bracket on the event page →
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 4-2 +0.5 1.0× +0.0 +0.5 1804
Quarterfinals · 1 match 1-0 +7.4 1.12× 1.00 · +0.12 +0.9 +8.3 1810
Semifinals · 1 match 0-1 -6.8 0.73× 1.00 · -0.27 +1.8 -5.0 1804
Top-cut bonus Tier-scaled additive ‧ Planetary at 34 +15.0 1819
Total 5-3-0 +18.8 1822
Biggest upset Beat Vinch 1811 at 49% odds / surprise +0.51
Costliest loss Lost to Wapta 1506 at 73% odds / surprise -0.73 / +22 swing

Matches (8)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1811~ Vinch Win 49% 2-1 1.0× +11.1 Swiss
R2 1500~ LucU Win 72% 2-0 1.0× +5.7 Swiss
R3 1521~ Periwinkell Win 72% 2-0 1.0× +6.1 Swiss
R4 1506~ Wapta Loss 73% 1-2 1.0× -16.0 Swiss
R5 1500~ darknesspwns Loss 72% 0-2 1.0× -14.7 Swiss
R6 1654 AlexKemper Win 62% 2-1 1.0× +8.3 Swiss
QF 1506~ Wapta Win 73% 2-1 1.12× +6.6 Top Cut
Semis 1986~ JamesUgly Loss 36% 0-2 0.73× -5.6 Top Cut
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