Nicky Morgan at Planetary Qualifier Matawan NJ

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Planetary Premier August 30, 2025 Record 3-2-0 Field 92
Rating after 1,820
-2
Rating before 1,822 RD 80
Rating after 1,820 RD 79
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,794 vs field +201
Field strength Mean 1,593 · Median 1,564 · 92 rated 92nd Percentile Planetaries, 2025 Q3

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 5 matches 3-2 -2.1 1.0× +0.0 -2.1 1820
Total 3-2-0 -2.1 1820
Biggest upset Beat Bobster117 1691 at 61% odds / surprise +0.39
Costliest loss Lost to AusC26 1564 at 71% odds / surprise -0.71 / +23 swing

Matches (5)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1407 Eldrad Win 80% 2-1 1.0× +4.4 Swiss
R2 1564 AusC26 Loss 71% 0-2 1.0× -15.9 Swiss
R3 1560~ DarthUtini Win 70% 2-0 1.0× +6.5 Swiss
R4 1691 Bobster117 Win 61% 2-1 1.0× +8.8 Swiss
R5 2112 Joshua Everly Loss 27% 0-2 1.0× -6.1 Swiss
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