Rankings / Nicky Morgan / Planetary Qualifier Newington CT

Nicky Morgan at Planetary Qualifier Newington CT

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Planetary Premier September 13, 2025 Record 5-1-2 Field 97
Rating after 1,857
+37
Rating before 1,820 RD 79
Rating after 1,857 RD 79
Effective multiplier 0.96× weighted avg
Performance 2,122 vs field +547
Field strength Mean 1,575 · Median 1,529 · 97 rated 80th Percentile Planetaries, 2025 Q3

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Quarterfinals
Nick Alifano 0
MCG_Dahak 2
Nicky Morgan 0
MCG_Pasqwalle 2
TH_MoxlessMatt 0
BobbySapphire 2
CAPLOCK 2
Bikethief 0
Semifinals
MCG_Dahak 2
MCG_Pasqwalle 1
BobbySapphire 2
CAPLOCK 1
Finals
MCG_Dahak 0
BobbySapphire 2
See full bracket on the event page →
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 5-0-2 +30.0 1.0× +0.0 +30.0 1850
Quarterfinals · 1 match 0-1 -9.6 0.82× 1.00 · -0.18 +1.7 -7.9 1842
Top-cut bonus Tier-scaled additive ‧ Planetary at 97 +15.0 1857
Total 5-1-2 +37.2 1857
Biggest upset Beat TH_Lowercase 1702 at 60% odds / surprise +0.4
Costliest loss Lost to MCG_Pasqwalle 1899 at 46% odds / surprise -0.46 / +22 swing

Matches (8)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1500~ Truetgirl Win 73% 2-0 1.0× +5.4 Swiss
R2 1361 Ninjazebraa Win 83% 2-0 1.0× +3.8 Swiss
R3 1638 spideyguy0 Win 65% 2-0 1.0× +7.7 Swiss
R4 1702 TH_Lowercase Win 60% 2-0 1.0× +8.8 Swiss
R5 1536~ OMG Win 72% 2-0 1.0× +6.0 Swiss
R6 1808 CAPLOCK Draw — 0-0 1.0× ±0.0 Swiss
R7 1899 MCG_Pasqwalle Draw — 0-0 1.0× ±0.0 Swiss
QF 1899 MCG_Pasqwalle Loss 46% 0-2 0.82× -7.8 Top Cut
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