Nicky Morgan at Sector Qualifier Limited Philadelphia

melee.gg
Sector Limited October 11, 2025 Record 6-3-0 Field 474
Rating after 1,858
+17
Rating before 1,841 RD 127
Rating after 1,858 RD 110
Effective multiplier 1.15× weighted avg
Performance 1,902 vs field +354
Field strength Mean 1,548 · Median 1,500 · 474 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Sector tier multiplier (1.15×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Sector event adds a flat +25 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 9 matches 6-3 +15.2 1.15× +2.3 +17.5 1858
Total 6-3-0 +17.5 1858
Biggest upset Beat Ophir Marom 1974 at 39% odds / surprise +0.61
Costliest loss Lost to FenixGaming 1683 at 63% odds / surprise -0.63 / +60 swing

Matches (9)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1513~ tsktsk Win 75% 2-0 1.15× +15.4 Swiss
R2 1815~ CAPLOCK Loss 52% 1-2 1.15× -31.4 Swiss
R3 1500~ MattTatum Win 74% 2-0 1.15× +14.7 Swiss
R4 1780~ Javid Win 55% 2-0 1.15× +27.1 Swiss
R5 1825~ Eric Hunter Loss 51% 1-2 1.15× -30.9 Swiss
R6 1425~ jesbart Win 80% 2-1 1.15× +12.3 Swiss
R7 1974~ Ophir Marom Win 39% 2-1 1.15× +36.8 Swiss
R8 1683~ FenixGaming Loss 63% 1-2 1.15× -38.0 Swiss
R9 1569~ JonahP Win 71% 2-0 1.15× +17.5 Swiss
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