Nicky Morgan at Planetary Qualifier Groton CT

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Planetary Premier December 06, 2025 Record 5-2-0 Field 72
Rating after 1,927
-10
Rating before 1,937 RD 85
Rating after 1,927 RD 83
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,850 vs field +294
Field strength Mean 1,556 · Median 1,517 · 73 rated 52nd Percentile Planetaries, 2025 Q4

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 5-2 -9.5 1.0× +0.0 -9.5 1927
Total 5-2-0 -9.5 1927
Biggest upset Beat Ulacanis 1719 at 68% odds / surprise +0.32
Costliest loss Lost to KingGrouber 1543 at 79% odds / surprise -0.79 / +25 swing

Matches (7)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1407 CoughSyrup Win 86% 2-0 1.0× +3.6 Swiss
R2 1783 Joseph Martin Loss 63% 0-2 1.0× -15.9 Swiss
R3 1500~ maciej710 Win 80% 2-1 1.0× +4.8 Swiss
R4 1579~ EdwardStack Win 77% 2-0 1.0× +5.8 Swiss
R5 1543 KingGrouber Loss 79% 1-2 1.0× -20.1 Swiss
R6 1391~ Tatro34 Win 86% 2-1 1.0× +3.5 Swiss
R7 1719 Ulacanis Win 68% 2-1 1.0× +8.1 Swiss
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