Nicky Morgan at Planetary Qualifier Bernardsville NJ

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Planetary Premier December 13, 2025 Record 2-2-0 Field 56
Rating after 1,914
-13
Rating before 1,927 RD 83
Rating after 1,914 RD 82
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,747 vs field +110
Field strength Mean 1,637 · Median 1,592 · 56 rated 97th Percentile Planetaries, 2025 Q4

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 4 matches 2-2 -13.1 1.0× +0.0 -13.1 1914
Total 2-2-0 -13.1 1914
Biggest upset Beat Michael Jurgelon 1902 at 52% odds / surprise +0.48
Costliest loss Lost to sleepygato 1551 at 78% odds / surprise -0.78 / +24 swing

Matches (4)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1728 t_case Loss 66% 0-1 1.0× -16.0 Swiss
R2 1804 MCG_SpanishAlex Win 60% 2-1 1.0× +9.5 Swiss
R3 1551 sleepygato Loss 78% 1-2 1.0× -19.0 Swiss
R4 1902 Michael Jurgelon Win 52% 2-0 1.0× +11.5 Swiss
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