Nicky Morgan at Planetary Qualifier Rochester NY

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Planetary Premier January 10, 2026 Record 4-2-1 Field 44

Rating after 1,920

+15

Rating before 1,905 RD 80

Rating after 1,920 RD 80

Effective multiplier 0.9×

Performance 1,883

Field strength Mean 1,584 · Median 1,557 · 44 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1905 → Swiss 1916 +11.2 → Quarterfinals 1905 -11.6 → Top-cut bonus 1920 +15.0

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

GleS2 1

j13scott 2

Ethan Koeppe 2

drimas 1

ECL_Narchy 0

JamesUgly 2

Nicky Morgan 0

PeterMatteson13 2

Semifinals

j13scott 2

Ethan Koeppe 1

JamesUgly 2

PeterMatteson13 1

Finals

j13scott 0

JamesUgly 2

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 6 matches 4-1-1 +11.2 1.0× +0.0 +11.2 1916

Quarterfinals · 1 match 0-1 -13.5 0.82× 1.00 · -0.18 +2.4 -11.1 1905

Top-cut bonus Tier-scaled additive ‧ Planetary at 44 +15.0 1920

Total 4-2-1 +15.1 1920

Biggest upset Beat PeterMatteson13 1723 at 65% odds / surprise +0.35

Costliest loss Lost to PeterMatteson13 1723 at 66% odds / surprise -0.66 /

Matches (7)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

R1 znicoletti Win 2-0 1.0× Swiss

R2 PhilVH Win 2-0 1.0× Swiss

R3 PeterMatteson13 Win 2-0 1.0× Swiss

R4 GleS2 Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

R5 William Rybaltowski Win 2-1 1.0× Swiss

R6 ECL_Narchy Draw 0-0 1.0× ±0.0 Swiss

Top Cut

QF PeterMatteson13 Loss 0-2 0.82× Top Cut