Nicky Morgan at Planetary Qualifier Montgomery NY

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Planetary Limited January 11, 2026 Record 2-3-0 Field 47
Rating after 1,791
-67
Rating before 1,858 RD 114
Rating after 1,791 RD 108
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,409 vs field -126
Field strength Mean 1,535 · Median 1,500 · 47 rated 23rd Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q1

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 5 matches 2-3 -67.2 1.0× +0.0 -67.2 1791
Total 2-3-0 -67.2 1791
Toughest win Beat MCG_PadawanUnlimited 1555 at 73% odds
Costliest loss Lost to Hockeydad27 1475 at 78% odds / surprise -0.78 / +44 swing

Matches (5)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1475~ Hockeydad27 Loss 78% 0-2 1.0× -34.4 Swiss
R2 1500~ Justin Franco Win 75% 2-1 1.0× +10.0 Swiss
R3 1555~ MCG_PadawanUnlimited Win 73% 2-0 1.0× +11.5 Swiss
R4 1568~ Zslayer Loss 72% 0-2 1.0× -30.3 Swiss
R5 1571~ Jessica Bogwicz Loss 72% 0-2 1.0× -31.2 Swiss
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