Nicky Morgan at Regional Championship Limited Milwaukee

melee.gg

Regional Limited February 20, 2026 Record 1-3-0 Field 561

Rating after 1,713

-78

Rating before 1,791 RD 110

Rating after 1,713 RD 105

Effective multiplier 1.3×

Performance 1,231

Field strength Mean 1,593 · Median 1,565 · 562 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Regional tier multiplier (1.3×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Regional event adds a flat +35 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1791 → Swiss 1713 -78.5

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

Dhostutl 2

TH_Lowercase 0

TH_MoxlessMatt 0

MND_gundy 2

Mcbober 0

BobbySapphire 2

SobekSobek 0

CadeH13 2

Semifinals

BobbySapphire 2

MND_gundy 0

CadeH13 2

Dhostutl 0

Finals

BobbySapphire 2

CadeH13 1

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 4 matches 1-3 -60.4 1.3× -18.1 -78.5 1713

Total 1-3-0 -78.5 1713

Toughest win Beat JonathanBlaseg 1500 at 71% odds

Costliest loss Lost to EvaS8 1500 at 71% odds / surprise -0.71 /

Matches (4)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

R1 marshhhh Loss 1-2 1.3× Swiss

R2 EvaS8 Loss 1-2 1.3× Swiss

R3 JonathanBlaseg Win 2-1 1.3× Swiss

R4 SamTooManyHans Loss 0-2 1.3× Swiss