Rankings / Nicky Morgan / Regional Championship Milwaukee

Nicky Morgan at Regional Championship Milwaukee

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Regional Premier February 21, 2026 Record 10-3-0 Field 708
Rating after 1,989
+69
Rating before 1,920 RD 82
Rating after 1,989 RD 75
Effective multiplier 1.3× weighted avg
Performance 2,227 vs field +627
Field strength Mean 1,600 · Median 1,579 · 712 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Regional tier multiplier (1.3×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Regional event adds a flat +35 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Quarterfinals
TP_MaJar 1
Ray Tan 2
ECL_LegoPizza 2
MCG_SpanishAlex 0
CarsonCarusoSWU 0
eakfoil 2
SBS_NinjaFerret 0
ECL_TroyYamaguchi 2
Semifinals
Ray Tan 2
ECL_LegoPizza 1
eakfoil 2
ECL_TroyYamaguchi 1
Finals
Ray Tan 1
eakfoil 2
See full bracket on the event page →
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 13 matches 10-3 +53.0 1.3× +15.9 +69.0 1989
Total 10-3-0 +69.0 1989
Biggest upset Beat OsmiumBlaze 2031 at 41% odds / surprise +0.59
Costliest loss Lost to SYC_Vernastyr 1963 at 46% odds / surprise -0.46 / +31 swing

Matches (13)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1705 Ezrian Win 68% 2-0 1.3× +9.9 Swiss
R2 1492 Dorgio Win 81% 2-0 1.3× +5.8 Swiss
R3 1806 Byrus_MythicForce Win 60% 2-0 1.3× +12.3 Swiss
R4 1951 RelicRelic Win 47% 2-1 1.3× +16.1 Swiss
R5 2062 Spencer Freeman Loss 38% 0-2 1.3× -11.6 Swiss
R6 1963 SYC_Vernastyr Loss 46% 1-2 1.3× -14.2 Swiss
R7 1368 AdmiralZackbar Win 87% 2-1 1.3× +4.1 Swiss
R8 1809 Michael Ashbaugh Win 59% 2-0 1.3× +12.4 Swiss
R9 1928 KinJabber Win 49% 2-0 1.3× +15.5 Swiss
R10 1774 Order514_Zardlin Win 62% 2-0 1.3× +11.5 Swiss
R11 2065 Overley28 Loss 38% 0-2 1.3× -11.6 Swiss
R12 1935 Chris Wolf Win 49% 2-0 1.3× +15.6 Swiss
R13 2031 OsmiumBlaze Win 41% 2-0 1.3× +18.0 Swiss
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