DrakonianLord at Planetary Qualifier Warsaw

melee.gg

Planetary Premier April 19, 2026 Record 4-1-2 Field 63

Rating after 2,020

+75

Rating before 1,945 RD 152

Rating after 2,020 RD 136

Effective multiplier 0.95×

Performance 2,220

Field strength Mean 1,594 · Median 1,544 · 63 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1945 → Swiss 2035 +90.4 → Quarterfinals 2004 -31.2 → Top-cut bonus 2019 +15.0

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

Beton 0

Gibki 2

Jędrzej Sobota 2

DrakonianLord 1

Harrison_Solo 0

Piotr Jabłoński 2

siny 0

Cuendae 2

Semifinals

Gibki 2

Jędrzej Sobota 0

Piotr Jabłoński 2

Cuendae 0

Finals

Gibki 2

Piotr Jabłoński 0

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 6 matches 4-0-2 +90.4 1.0× +0.0 +90.4 2035

Quarterfinals · 1 match 0-1 -36.9 0.82× 1.00 · -0.18 +6.6 -30.2 2004

Top-cut bonus Tier-scaled additive ‧ Planetary at 63 +15.0 2019

Total 4-1-2 +75.2 2020

Biggest upset Beat Gibki 1982 at 47% odds / surprise +0.53

Costliest loss Lost to Jędrzej Sobota 1911 at 61% odds / surprise -0.61 /

Matches (7)

R1 Hubertos Win 2-0 1.0× +16.8 Swiss

R2 ArturSoulash Win 2-0 1.0× +20.9 Swiss

R3 michalr Win 2-0 1.0× +27.2 Swiss

R4 Gibki Win 2-0 1.0× +39.6 Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted only 47% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.

R5 Cuendae Draw 0-0 1.0× ±0.0 Swiss

R6 Jędrzej Sobota Draw 0-0 1.0× ±0.0 Swiss

QF Jędrzej Sobota Loss 1-2 0.82× Top Cut

Glicko-2 predicted 61% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.