Disnard at Planetary Qualifier Montreal

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 3-2-0 Field 82
Rating after 1,457
+114
Rating before 1,343 RD 171
Rating after 1,457 RD 149
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,738 vs field +159
Field strength Mean 1,579 · Median 1,558 · 82 rated 49th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 5 matches 3-2 +114.0 1.0× +0.0 +114.0 1457
Total 3-2-0 +114.0 1457
Biggest upset Beat Christopher Lefrancois 1682 at 25% odds / surprise +0.75
Costliest loss Lost to BennyBlues 1593 at 30% odds / surprise -0.3 / +92 swing

Matches (5)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1445~ Obi-Dan Win 41% 2-0 1.0× +53.8 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 41% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 127, true skill could span ±253).
R2 1573 Colazel Win 31% 2-0 1.0× +64.2 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 31% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R3 1682~ Christopher Lefrancois Win 25% 2-1 1.0× +69.4 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 25% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 166, true skill could span ±332).
R4 1777 Kevin Anctil Loss 19% 0-2 1.0× -17.8 Swiss
R5 1593~ BennyBlues Loss 30% 1-2 1.0× -27.9 Swiss
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