David_MoP at Planetary Qualifier London

melee.gg
Planetary Premier January 18, 2025 Record 1-6-0 Field 102
Rating after 1,259
-241
Rating before 1,500 RD 250
Rating after 1,259 RD 173
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 922 vs field -610
Field strength Mean 1,532 · Median 1,500 · 102 rated 74th Percentile Planetaries, 2025 Q1

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 1-6 -241.2 1.0× +0.0 -241.2 1259
Total 1-6-0 -241.2 1259
Biggest upset Beat ItsLewis96 1500 at 50% odds / surprise +0.5
Costliest loss Lost to NXS_ArthurDDL 1453 at 54% odds / surprise -0.54 / +177 swing

Matches (7)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1500~ Charlie Gill Loss 50% 0-2 1.0× -85.1 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 50% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
R2 1500~ DurW Loss 50% 0-2 1.0× -85.1 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 50% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
R3 1500~ ItsLewis96 Win 50% 2-0 1.0× +85.1 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 50% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
R4 1500~ OllieEN Loss 50% 1-2 1.0× -85.1 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 50% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
R5 1500~ trocket215 Loss 50% 0-2 1.0× -85.1 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 50% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
R6 1453~ NXS_ArthurDDL Loss 54% 1-2 1.0× -95.2 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 54% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 174, true skill could span ±348).
R7 1500~ MarkyG Loss 50% 1-2 1.0× -85.1 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 50% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
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