David_MoP at Planetary Qualifier London

melee.gg
Planetary Premier October 19, 2025 Record 2-4-0 Field 55
Rating after 1,289
+30
Rating before 1,259 RD 181
Rating after 1,289 RD 153
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,363 vs field -198
Field strength Mean 1,561 · Median 1,537 · 55 rated 62nd Percentile Planetaries, 2025 Q4

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 2-4 +29.8 1.0× +0.0 +29.8 1289
Total 2-4-0 +29.8 1289
Biggest upset Beat DurW 1599 at 24% odds / surprise +0.76
Costliest loss Lost to Porg 1498 at 31% odds / surprise -0.31 / +102 swing

Matches (6)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1808 NXS_CheifGoose Loss 13% 1-2 1.0× -14.4 Swiss
R2 1558~ Vicky_MoP Loss 27% 0-2 1.0× -27.7 Swiss
R3 1498~ Porg Loss 31% 0-2 1.0× -31.7 Swiss
R4 1500~ dthev Win 32% 2-0 1.0× +65.7 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 32% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
R5 1599~ DurW Win 24% 2-0 1.0× +78.6 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 24% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 136, true skill could span ±273).
R6 1511~ FF_LordBuckethead Loss 30% 0-2 1.0× -30.9 Swiss
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