DavidAlvarez at Planetary Qualifier Oviedo

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 3-2-1 Field 44
Rating after 1,634
+5
Rating before 1,629 RD 103
Rating after 1,634 RD 97
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,672 vs field +127
Field strength Mean 1,545 · Median 1,519 · 44 rated 14th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 3-2-1 +4.9 1.0× +0.0 +4.9 1634
Total 3-2-1 +4.9 1634
Biggest upset Beat JaviHT 1652 at 48% odds / surprise +0.52
Costliest loss Lost to JAEstwald 1558 at 56% odds / surprise -0.56 / +36 swing

Matches (6)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1652 JaviHT Win 48% 2-1 1.0× +18.7 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 48% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R2 1636 Taelos Loss 49% 0-2 1.0× -17.9 Swiss
R3 1598~ Ganix Ugarte Aja Win 52% 2-0 1.0× +16.6 Swiss
R4 1500~ SauronOp Win 60% 2-0 1.0× +13.4 Swiss
R5 1558~ JAEstwald Loss 56% 0-2 1.0× -20.2 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 56% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 121, true skill could span ±241).
R6 1460~ Damvla Draw 64% 1-1 1.0× -5.0 Swiss
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