Danuel_Nie at Planetary Qualifier Warsaw

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 19, 2026 Record 3-3-0 Field 63
Rating after 1,358
+55
Rating before 1,304 RD 144
Rating after 1,358 RD 128
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,531 vs field -63
Field strength Mean 1,594 · Median 1,544 · 63 rated 74th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 3-3 +54.8 1.0× +0.0 +54.8 1358
Total 3-3-0 +54.8 1358
Biggest upset Beat Jan Jurczyszyn 1456 at 37% odds / surprise +0.63
Costliest loss Lost to Guzi6 1378 at 44% odds / surprise -0.44 / +67 swing

Matches (6)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1350~ SergioG4 Win 46% 2-1 1.0× +35.3 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 46% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 180, true skill could span ±360).
R2 1709 Marchewa Loss 20% 0-2 1.0× -13.9 Swiss
R3 1378~ Guzi6 Loss 44% 0-2 1.0× -29.5 Swiss
R4 1879 Szavi Loss 12% 0-2 1.0× -8.7 Swiss
R5 1456 Jan Jurczyszyn Win 37% 2-1 1.0× +42.6 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 37% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R6 1432 Orka Win 39% 2-0 1.0× +41.1 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 39% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
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