DanSolo at Planetary Qualifier Essen

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 3-4-0 Field 68
Rating after 1,540
-11
Rating before 1,551 RD 115
Rating after 1,540 RD 104
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,501 vs field -71
Field strength Mean 1,572 · Median 1,535 · 68 rated 42nd Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 3-4 -11.4 1.0× +0.0 -11.4 1540
Total 3-4-0 -11.4 1540
Biggest upset Beat LuckyJoe1909 1572 at 48% odds / surprise +0.52
Costliest loss Lost to dropkickrob 1505 at 54% odds / surprise -0.54 / +44 swing

Matches (7)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 2091 Menicks Loss 14% 0-2 1.0× -6.1 Swiss
R2 1505 dropkickrob Loss 54% 0-2 1.0× -23.6 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 54% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.
R3 1324 Diddi6986 Win 68% 2-0 1.0× +14.0 Swiss
R4 1572~ LuckyJoe1909 Win 48% 2-0 1.0× +21.9 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 48% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 181, true skill could span ±362).
R5 1527~ CCR_RealVeers Loss 52% 1-2 1.0× -22.6 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 52% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 127, true skill could span ±255).
R6 1500~ Revanite Win 54% 2-1 1.0× +18.7 Swiss
R7 1725 SpaceGoose_TCT Loss 36% 0-2 1.0× -15.8 Swiss
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