D3ploy_MythicForce at Planetary Qualifier Montreal

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Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 2-2-2 Field 82
Rating after 1,563
-5
Rating before 1,568 RD 97
Rating after 1,563 RD 92
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,536 vs field -43
Field strength Mean 1,579 · Median 1,558 · 82 rated 49th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 2-2-2 -5.3 1.0× +0.0 -5.3 1563
Total 2-2-2 -5.3 1563
Biggest upset Beat tguiboud 1589 at 48% odds / surprise +0.52
Costliest loss Lost to ORA_Louisere 1446 at 60% odds / surprise -0.6 / +32 swing

Matches (6)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1486 Richard Blais Draw 57% 1-1 1.0× -2.2 Swiss
R2 1703 Awesome_Phil Loss 39% 0-2 1.0× -12.6 Swiss
R3 1500~ Rorschach87 Win 55% 2-1 1.0× +13.3 Swiss
R4 1500~ LouisValiquette Draw 55% 1-1 1.0× -1.6 Swiss
R5 1589~ tguiboud Win 48% 2-0 1.0× +16.2 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 48% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 175, true skill could span ±349).
R6 1446~ ORA_Louisere Loss 60% 0-2 1.0× -19.0 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 60% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 150, true skill could span ±299).
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