Cuendae at Planetary Qualifier Warsaw

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Planetary Premier April 19, 2026 Record 5-1-2 Field 63
Rating after 1,959
+77
Rating before 1,882 RD 109
Rating after 1,959 RD 104
Effective multiplier 0.97× weighted avg
Performance 2,277 vs field +683
Field strength Mean 1,594 · Median 1,544 · 63 rated 74th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 4-0-2 +54.7 1.0× +0.0 +54.7 1936
Quarterfinals · 1 match 1-0 +20.5 1.12× 1.00 · +0.12 +2.5 +23.0 1958
Semifinals · 1 match 0-1 -21.3 0.73× 1.00 · -0.27 +5.7 -15.5 1942
Top-cut bonus Tier-scaled additive ‧ Planetary at 63 +15.0 1957
Total 5-1-2 +77.1 1959
Biggest upset Beat siny 1975 at 47% odds / surprise +0.53
Costliest loss Lost to Piotr Jabłoński 1815 at 62% odds / surprise -0.62 / +37 swing

Matches (8)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1385~ KarkosSWU Win 84% 2-1 1.0× +6.4 Swiss
R2 1722 Piotr Grabiec Win 63% 2-0 1.0× +14.7 Swiss
R3 1863 MikaelPL Win 52% 2-0 1.0× +19.4 Swiss
R4 1849 Erik Eroth Kaleta Win 53% 2-0 1.0× +18.9 Swiss
R5 1945~ DrakonianLord Draw 0-0 1.0× ±0.0 Swiss
R6 1975 siny Draw 0-0 1.0× ±0.0 Swiss
QF 1975 siny Win 47% 2-0 1.12× +25.9 Top Cut
Glicko-2 predicted only 47% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
Semis 1815 Piotr Jabłoński Loss 62% 0-2 0.73× -16.2 Top Cut
Glicko-2 predicted 62% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.
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