Cread2 at Planetary Qualifier Warsaw

melee.gg

Planetary Premier April 19, 2026 Record 0-6-0 Field 63

Rating after 1,148

-130

Rating before 1,279 RD 146

Rating after 1,148 RD 128

Effective multiplier 1.0×

Performance 800

Field strength Mean 1,594 · Median 1,544 · 63 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1279 → Swiss 1148 -130.3

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

Beton 0

Gibki 2

Jędrzej Sobota 2

DrakonianLord 1

Harrison_Solo 0

Piotr Jabłoński 2

siny 0

Cuendae 2

Semifinals

Gibki 2

Jędrzej Sobota 0

Piotr Jabłoński 2

Cuendae 0

Finals

Gibki 2

Piotr Jabłoński 0

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 6 matches 0-6 -130.3 1.0× +0.0 -130.3 1148

Total 0-6-0 -130.3 1148

Costliest loss Lost to FORFUNN3000 1221 at 55% odds / surprise -0.55 /

Matches (6)

R1 vesnuss Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 52% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.

R2 Volver Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

R3 mackogib Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

R4 macpodgorski Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

R5 Tadas Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

R6 FORFUNN3000 Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 55% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 153, true skill could span ±305).