CoolBowTiesAre at Planetary Qualifier CONROE

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 4-2-1 Field 55
Rating after 1,656
+64
Rating before 1,592 RD 119
Rating after 1,656 RD 110
Effective multiplier 0.96× weighted avg
Performance 1,845 vs field +257
Field strength Mean 1,588 · Median 1,561 · 55 rated 62nd Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 4-1-1 +65.4 1.0× +0.0 +65.4 1658
Quarterfinals · 1 match 0-1 -19.7 0.82× 1.00 · -0.18 +3.5 -16.2 1640
Top-cut bonus Tier-scaled additive ‧ Planetary at 55 +15.0 1655
Total 4-2-1 +64.2 1656
Biggest upset Beat ominousquash 1741 at 38% odds / surprise +0.62
Costliest loss Lost to CannedIce 1641 at 51% odds / surprise -0.51 / +46 swing

Matches (7)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1405~ BeccaWilliams Win 65% 2-1 1.0× +16.0 Swiss
R2 1669~ Mark Fichtel Win 44% 2-1 1.0× +26.0 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 44% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 146, true skill could span ±292).
R3 1741~ ominousquash Win 38% 2-0 1.0× +28.9 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 38% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 135, true skill could span ±270).
R4 1864 Gungang_Istvan Loss 28% 1-2 1.0× -13.4 Swiss
R5 1432~ Awnetu Win 63% 2-1 1.0× +17.2 Swiss
R6 1507 vakarian Draw 0-0 1.0× ±0.0 Swiss
QF 1641 CannedIce Loss 51% 0-2 0.82× -17.7 Top Cut
Glicko-2 predicted 51% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.
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