CinnamonRimConstable at Planetary Qualifier Groton

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Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 2-3-0 Field 69
Rating after 1,613
-58
Rating before 1,670 RD 182
Rating after 1,613 RD 153
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,489 vs field -81
Field strength Mean 1,570 · Median 1,540 · 68 rated 42nd Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 5 matches 2-3 -57.8 1.0× +0.0 -57.8 1613
Total 2-3-0 -57.8 1613
Biggest upset Beat SpectreZero 1591 at 57% odds / surprise +0.43
Costliest loss Lost to RogueVader 1486 at 65% odds / surprise -0.65 / +105 swing

Matches (5)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1500~ Phaupt16 Win 63% 2-0 1.0× +36.0 Swiss
R2 1591~ wesworth Loss 57% 0-2 1.0× -58.1 Swiss
R3 1591 SpectreZero Win 57% 2-1 1.0× +45.1 Swiss
R4 1486 RogueVader Loss 65% 1-2 1.0× -68.5 Swiss
R5 1935 Joseph Martin Loss 29% 0-2 1.0× -30.5 Swiss
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