ChristianTobey at Planetary Qualifier Radcliff

melee.gg

Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 1-4-0 Field 44

Rating after 1,844

-75

Rating before 1,919 RD 91

Rating after 1,844 RD 89

Effective multiplier 1.0×

Performance 1,091

Field strength Mean 1,583 · Median 1,522 · 44 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.12 +0.18 +0.25 Losses -0.18 -0.27 -0.35

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1919 → Swiss 1844 -75.2

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

RelicRelic 2

blakeken 1

Devias 2

NoahG1212 1

AlbatrossLuke 0

JohnYellow 2

Aaron Higgins 2

projector101 0

Semifinals

RelicRelic 2

Devias 0

JohnYellow 1

Aaron Higgins 2

Finals

RelicRelic 1

Aaron Higgins 2

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 5 matches 1-4 -75.2 1.0× +0.0 -75.2 1844

Total 1-4-0 -75.2 1844

Toughest win Beat ChaseClaborn552 1426 at 84% odds

Costliest loss Lost to djb299 1409 at 84% odds / surprise -0.84 /

Matches (5)

R1 ChaseClaborn552 Win 2-0 1.0× +4.6 Swiss

R2 Devias Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 63% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.

R3 djb299 Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 84% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 177, true skill could span ±354).

R4 AnglerDave Loss 1-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 78% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins.

R5 Cody Murphy Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 79% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).