Chris7016 at Planetary Qualifier Essen

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 3-4-0 Field 68
Rating after 1,452
-9
Rating before 1,460 RD 121
Rating after 1,452 RD 108
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,430 vs field -142
Field strength Mean 1,572 · Median 1,535 · 68 rated 42nd Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 3-4 -8.7 1.0× +0.0 -8.7 1452
Total 3-4-0 -8.7 1452
Biggest upset Beat RustySynapse 1528 at 44% odds / surprise +0.56
Costliest loss Lost to SoldatF 1555 at 42% odds / surprise -0.42 / +48 swing

Matches (7)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1555 SoldatF Loss 42% 0-2 1.0× -20.4 Swiss
R2 1244~ Janoshi Win 67% 2-0 1.0× +15.7 Swiss
R3 1603~ MicW12 Loss 38% 1-2 1.0× -18.3 Swiss
R4 1601 ChickenAreEvil_TDM Loss 38% 0-2 1.0× -18.6 Swiss
R5 1528~ RustySynapse Win 44% 2-0 1.0× +26.4 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 44% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 152, true skill could span ±304).
R6 1500~ EinfachJan Win 47% 2-1 1.0× +23.8 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 47% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
R7 1585 nWo_DerAmberg Loss 40% 0-2 1.0× -19.2 Swiss
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