CCR_Scorekeeper at Sector Qualifier Tilburg

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Sector Premier January 10, 2026 Record 5-3-0 Field 477
Rating after 1,616
+146
Rating before 1,470 RD 173
Rating after 1,616 RD 138
Effective multiplier 1.15× weighted avg
Performance 1,803 vs field +212
Field strength Mean 1,591 · Median 1,567 · 477 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Sector tier multiplier (1.15×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Sector event adds a flat +25 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 8 matches 5-3 +127.3 1.15× +19.1 +146.3 1616
Total 5-3-0 +146.3 1616
Biggest upset Beat Tim van Trappen 1769 at 27% odds / surprise +0.73
Costliest loss Lost to msimonsen 1510 at 47% odds / surprise -0.47 / +108 swing

Matches (8)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1500~ dustySW Win 48% 2-0 1.15× +52.9 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 48% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
R2 1738 BEO_Voilou Win 29% 2-0 1.15× +79.2 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 29% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R3 1388 Intrepidd Win 57% 2-1 1.15× +46.9 Swiss
R4 1769 Tim van Trappen Win 27% 2-1 1.15× +81.5 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 27% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect.
R5 1510 msimonsen Loss 47% 0-2 1.15× -50.5 Swiss
R6 1950 PatrickRedondo Loss 16% 1-2 1.15× -18.4 Swiss
R7 1819 Kamarada Loss 23% 0-2 1.15× -26.0 Swiss
R8 1418 SanHoloo Win 54% 2-1 1.15× +49.6 Swiss
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