CCR_Ege at Planetary Qualifier Essen

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 2-5-0 Field 68
Rating after 1,405
-38
Rating before 1,443 RD 103
Rating after 1,405 RD 97
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,175 vs field -397
Field strength Mean 1,572 · Median 1,535 · 68 rated 42nd Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 2-5 -38.0 1.0× +0.0 -38.0 1405
Total 2-5-0 -38.0 1405
Biggest upset Beat mrheavywash 1500 at 46% odds / surprise +0.54
Costliest loss Lost to PadNation 1225 at 67% odds / surprise -0.67 / +35 swing

Matches (7)

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 2004 FettFighter Loss 13% 0-2 1.0× -4.8 Swiss
R2 1225~ PadNation Loss 67% 0-2 1.0× -23.6 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted 67% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 180, true skill could span ±360).
R3 1500~ mrheavywash Win 46% 2-0 1.0× +18.2 Swiss
Glicko-2 predicted only 46% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 250, true skill could span ±500).
R4 1500~ Revanite Loss 46% 0-2 1.0× -15.3 Swiss
R5 1257~ NGNR_TK_23115 Win 65% 2-0 1.0× +12.5 Swiss
R6 1513~ DarthTatlises Loss 44% 0-2 1.0× -15.4 Swiss
R7 1500~ Telli Loss 46% 0-2 1.0× -15.3 Swiss
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