CAPLOCK at Planetary Qualifier Groton

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Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 4-3-0 Field 69
Rating after 1,920
-29
Rating before 1,949 RD 98
Rating after 1,920 RD 93
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,752 vs field +182
Field strength Mean 1,570 · Median 1,540 · 68 rated 42nd Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 7 matches 4-3 -29.1 1.0× +0.0 -29.1 1920
Total 4-3-0 -29.1 1920
Biggest upset Beat Jason Seabury 1883 at 56% odds / surprise +0.44
Costliest loss Lost to TH_Rookie 1550 at 80% odds / surprise -0.8 / +33 swing

Matches (7)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1533 TH_TBirdASDF Win 81% 2-0 1.0× +6.5 Swiss
R2 1883 Jason Seabury Win 56% 2-0 1.0× +14.6 Swiss
R3 1485~ Zjacob2146 Win 83% 2-0 1.0× +5.7 Swiss
R4 1550 TH_Rookie Loss 80% 1-2 1.0× -26.6 Swiss
R5 1591~ wesworth Win 77% 2-1 1.0× +7.6 Swiss
R6 1938 Flippityfloop Loss 51% 0-2 1.0× -16.8 Swiss
R7 1668 flowerbedd Loss 72% 1-2 1.0× -23.7 Swiss
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