Bruce537 at Planetary Qualifier Cape Town

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Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 2-3-0 Field 22

Rating after 1,453

-22

Rating before 1,474 RD 166

Rating after 1,453 RD 145

Effective multiplier 1.0×

Performance 1,381

Field strength Mean 1,526 · Median 1,500 · 22 rated

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Shape D top-cut adjustments QF SF F Wins +0.06 +0.09 +0.12 Losses -0.09 -0.14 -0.18

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +8 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Start 1474 → Swiss 1453 -21.7

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page

Quarterfinals

Sungazer 2

RocketLight 0

UnableToWin 2

Adjcass 0

luka8luka 2

TonyFBaby 0

john196 0

Zeyaad Pandey 2

Semifinals

Sungazer 2

UnableToWin 0

luka8luka 0

Zeyaad Pandey 2

Finals

Sungazer 1

Zeyaad Pandey 2

See full bracket on the event page →

Swiss · 5 matches 2-3 -21.7 1.0× +0.0 -21.7 1453

Total 2-3-0 -21.7 1453

Biggest upset Beat Luke_C 1596 at 40% odds / surprise +0.6

Costliest loss Lost to Goggas 1316 at 63% odds / surprise -0.63 /

Matches (5)

R1 luka8luka Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

R2 meagan23 Win 2-0 1.0× +22.7 Swiss

R3 FranscoisdT Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

R4 Luke_C Win 2-0 1.0× +51.4 Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted only 40% odds for you. Upset wins move the rating model strongly because the system learns a lot from results it didn't expect. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 157, true skill could span ±313).

R5 Goggas Loss 0-2 1.0× Swiss

Glicko-2 predicted 63% odds in your favor. Unexpected losses carry the most rating signal — the system learns more from one upset than from many predictable wins. Their rating wasn't well-established (RD 159, true skill could span ±318).