Bran Aasen at Planetary Qualifier Edmonds

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 2-4-0 Field 64
Rating after 1,521
-32
Rating before 1,553 RD 92
Rating after 1,521 RD 88
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,278 vs field -312
Field strength Mean 1,590 · Median 1,568 · 64 rated 70th Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 6 matches 2-4 -32.0 1.0× +0.0 -32.0 1521
Total 2-4-0 -32.0 1521
Biggest upset Beat ScrumblyDumpus 1621 at 44% odds / surprise +0.56
Costliest loss Lost to ndj38 1298 at 69% odds / surprise -0.69 / +28 swing

Matches (6)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1530 jakeyye Loss 52% 1-2 1.0× -15.2 Swiss
R2 1621 ScrumblyDumpus Win 44% 2-0 1.0× +16.4 Swiss
R3 1298~ ndj38 Loss 69% 1-2 1.0× -19.2 Swiss
R4 1562 Flayer02 Loss 49% 1-2 1.0× -14.4 Swiss
R5 1566~ zephilix Loss 49% 1-2 1.0× -13.8 Swiss
R6 1375 Ya2Sabes Win 65% 2-0 1.0× +10.3 Swiss
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