Bald_Matt at Planetary Qualifier Groton

melee.gg
Planetary Premier April 25, 2026 Record 1-4-0 Field 69
Rating after 1,338
-33
Rating before 1,370 RD 196
Rating after 1,338 RD 166
Effective multiplier 1.0× weighted avg
Performance 1,255 vs field -315
Field strength Mean 1,570 · Median 1,540 · 68 rated 42nd Percentile Planetaries, 2026 Q2

// rating math · glicko-2 phase replay

How this rating change was computed

Glicko-2 doesn’t reward record — it rewards surprise. Winning a match the system expected you to win is worth almost nothing. Losing one is expensive. Losing to someone rated below you costs the most. The Planetary tier multiplier (1.0×) amplifies every gain and every loss.

Making cut at this Planetary event adds a flat +15 top-cut bonus on top of phase math. Making cut never costs you net rating — the made-cut floor pins the tournament delta to ≥ 0.

Top Cut Bracket Full bracket on the event page
Phase Record Raw Δ Multiplier Bonus Applied Running
Swiss · 5 matches 1-4 -32.8 1.0× +0.0 -32.8 1338
Total 1-4-0 -32.8 1338
Biggest upset Beat RammingSpeed 1397 at 48% odds / surprise +0.52

Matches (5)

Odds is the pre-match win probability the system gave you. Δ is the approximate per-match rating change — Glicko-2 batches matches per phase, so these are intuitive estimates, not the authoritative phase total above.

Round HRI Opponent Result Odds Game W-L Multiplier Δ Type
R1 1397~ RammingSpeed Win 48% 2-1 1.0× +60.0 Swiss
R2 1798 Tony Fangel Loss 19% 0-2 1.0× -23.3 Swiss
R3 1707 SuperlaserBahaBlast Loss 24% 0-2 1.0× -29.4 Swiss
R4 1779 jolis Loss 20% 0-2 1.0× -24.6 Swiss
R5 1741 TH_MoxlessMatt Loss 22% 0-2 1.0× -27.1 Swiss
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